To limit global warming below the 1.5°C target, over 145 countries have established or are exploring a target of net-zero emissions by mid century. We assess the risk and feasibility of Indonesia in achieving its climate target. We undertook three kinds of analysis: (a) reviewed various climate targets from several climate-related documents; (b) analyzed the climate policy gaps; and (c) assessed the status of two mitigation actions in progress, namely, coal phase-out and forest fire mitigation. Our main conclusions are: (1) Indonesia has a wide range of climate targets, creating the risk of underachieving the most optimistic targets; (2) despite the progress in climate-related policies, Indonesia still lacks clear targets and a monitoring system to ensure the efficacy of the policies; and (3) the two case studies reveal that there are more obstacles than enablers, creating higher risks to achieve these two specific targets. © 2024 by the Asian Economic Panel and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.